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Trust Hub

Cross-sport calibration scoreboard. Brier measures how close each pick's probability was to the result, so lower is better; market Brier does the same for the no-vig market price on the same picks. Lift is model minus market, so negative means the model beat the market. Status: calibrated if |lift| < 0.005, watch if < 0.020, action otherwise.

Cross-sport calibration scoreboard: N picks, model Brier, market Brier, lift, and calibration status per sport.
Sport N picks Model Brier Market Brier Lift Status
NBA 657 0.2268 0.1812 +0.0455 action
NHL 950 0.2385 0.2367 +0.0018 calibrated
MLB 4727 0.2447 0.2432 +0.0015 calibrated
Soccer 1097 0.2190 0.2300 -0.0110 watch
Tennis 3550 0.2091 0.1999 +0.0092 watch
Cricket 90 0.2546 0.2616 -0.0069 watch
UFC 484 0.1924 0.1825 +0.0099 watch

NBA blend split (deploy 2026-05-25): v1 N=528 lift +0.0561  ·  v2 N=129 lift +0.0025  —  full NBA dashboard

Pulled at Oct 29, 2026 · 00:40 UTC. Click any sport for full calibration buckets and signal-level dashboards.