Informational only, not betting advice. 21+.
Full record.
Polymarket
CRYPTOMoneyline0 markets
Crowd probabilities from decentralized prediction markets. Compare against sportsbook odds and AI model to find consensus or divergence.
Matchup
Time
Books / AI / Crowd
Crowd Odds
Stats
Meta
Kalshi
USD · CFTC0 markets
CFTC-regulated real-money prediction market. Markets appear 2-3 days before game day. Dollar-denominated contracts.
Matchup
Time
Books / AI / Crowd
Crowd Odds
Stats
Loading bets...
Sports
All sports NBA NHL MLB NCAAB NFL NCAAF EPL La Liga Serie A Bundesliga Ligue 1 UCL IPL ATP Tennis WTA Tennis UFC
Bet type
ML Spread O/UMin EV
Grade
HIGH MODERATE LOWPeriod
Full Game 1st 5 InningsSearch
Time
Sport
Matchup
Bet
Side / Line
Book
Odds
EV ↓
Prob
B/E
Grade
Tier
Loading...
Daily Performance Monitor
Live accuracy audit showing overall performance, per-bet-type breakdown, and signal accuracy.
Loading performance data...
CLV Summary
Closing Line Value measures whether we got better odds than the final line. Positive CLV = beating the market.
Loading CLV data...
Calibration Curve
When we say 60%, do they win 60%? Small deltas = well-calibrated. Brier < 0.25 beats coin-flip.
Loading calibration data...
Signal Performance (Moneyline)
Each signal's directional accuracy — how often it correctly predicts the winner.
Loading signal data...
P&L Tracker
W-L record, win rate, ROI, and daily P&L for BET and LEAN picks by bet type.
Loading P&L data...
Model vs Market
Games where our model disagrees with sportsbooks — spots potential value the market misses.
Loading data...
Pick History
Full accountability ledger — every BET/LEAN pick with result, CLV, and score.
Loading pick history...
Books Analysis
Book Sharpness Ranking
Which books predict outcomes most accurately? Brier score — lower = sharper.
Loading book sharpness data...
Book Hold % Ranking
Which books charge the least markup? Lower hold = better value.
Loading book hold data...
AI Machine Learning
Performance Trend
Brier scores over time for each source. Lower is better. 0.25 = coin-flip baseline.
Loading performance trend...
Weight Evolution
Active weights and tuning event timeline. Green = active, red = rolled back.
Loading weight evolution...
Weight History
Signal and blend weight values over time from daily snapshots.
Loading weight history...
Model Versions
ML model history — Brier scores, training sizes, active status.
Loading model versions...
Props Analytics
Props Performance
W-L record for player prop picks by sizing tier, prop type, and side (over/under).
Loading props data...
Props Calibration
When we predict 60% confidence, do props win 60%? Measures model accuracy by confidence tier.
Loading calibration...
Props Pick History
Recent player prop picks with projected vs actual values and outcomes.
Loading pick history...
Cricket (IPL) Backtest
IPL Model Backtest
Calibration of cricket IPL predictions: predicted probability buckets vs actual win rates. Run python scripts/cricket_backtest.py to populate.
Loading cricket backtest...
Tennis Backtest (ATP & WTA)
ATP Model Backtest
Walk-forward Elo + H2H + form backtest against held-out 2024 ATP matches. Run python scripts/tennis_backtest.py to populate.
Loading ATP backtest...
WTA Model Backtest
Walk-forward Elo + H2H + form backtest against held-out 2024 WTA matches. Run python scripts/tennis_backtest.py to populate.
Loading WTA backtest...
UFC Backtest
UFC Model Backtest (2019)
Walk-forward Glicko-2 + style + form backtest on held-out 2019 UFC fights (Kaggle dataset 1993–2019). Run python scripts/ufc_backtest.py to populate. Note: age/reach/weight-cut signals are low_data in Phase 1 — ufc_fighters table empty. Phase 2 target.
Loading UFC backtest...
Props Scanner
Same-Game Parlay(0 legs)
IPL Paper-Pick Slate
Live + upcoming matches with model predictions vs market close
Time to Toss
Match
Venue
Model P(H)
Market P(H)
Δ
Tier
Toss
UFC Moneyline Slate
Upcoming fights with model predictions vs market close
Tier:
Time to Fight
Matchup
Weight
Style
Model ML
Market ML
Edge
Tier
Reference Center
🔍
Signal Breakdown
Detailed signal breakdowns, line shopping across all books, and context factors for every game.
Direct Sportsbook Routing
Coming in a future release
One-tap routing to your sportsbook with the exact line and recommended stake pre-loaded. We'll open the bet slip directly inside the book — no copy-pasting, no missed lines.
✓ No copy-pasting bet details
✓ Line-locked or instantly notified if it moved
✓ Track your real results vs our recommendations
Consensus Edge will never hold your funds. You'll always place bets through your own sportsbook accounts.
Steam Move Analysis
Consensus|EdgΣ
[DATA THAT THINKS]
Platform Tutorial
Ten steps in two acts. Act One gets you reading the board — and reading a price
— in about ten minutes. Act Two goes under the hood, and ends on our own published
record. About 17 minutes end to end with narration.